The Sangshak Redemption
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 147 (47 on the archive and 100 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 70
Defender wins (Gurkhas): 76
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 873 | 873 | 50% | 2025-06-15 | Lost |
| 958 | 981 | 47% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 1031 | 1080 | 43% | 2025-05-30 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1185 | 54% | 2025-04-28 | Lost |
| 873 | 873 | 50% | 2025-04-21 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1182 | 35% | 2024-07-15 | Lost |
| 896 | 1041 | 30% | 2024-03-15 | Won |
| 1282 | 1244 | 55% | 2024-03-15 | Won |
| 954 | 954 | 50% | 2024-03-10 | Won |
| 1058 | 1015 | 56% | 2023-06-27 | Lost |
| 1097 | 948 | 70% | 2022-04-23 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-01-25 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1049 | 45% | 2021-11-06 | Lost |
| 1282 | 734 | 96% | 2021-07-19 | Won |
| 1282 | 734 | 96% | 2021-07-12 | Won |
| 1102 | 1075 | 54% | 2021-06-21 | Lost |
| 953 | 1110 | 29% | 2021-04-22 | Lost |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2021-01-17 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1098 | 47% | 2020-11-22 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1052 | 49% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
| 1047 | 1131 | 38% | 2020-04-29 | Lost |
| 931 | 1204 | 17% | 2020-04-24 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1132 | 51% | 2020-02-20 | Won |
| 991 | 914 | 61% | 2018-12-10 | Won |
| 1052 | 1124 | 40% | 2016-10-07 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2016-08-13 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1109 | 65% | 2015-09-05 | Won |
| 978 | 756 | 78% | 2015-06-27 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1078 | 59% | 2014-10-09 | Won |
| 969 | 982 | 48% | 2014-09-25 | Lost |
| 1109 | 919 | 75% | 2014-05-03 | Won |
| 1035 | 917 | 66% | 2014-03-15 | Won |
| 1035 | 917 | 66% | 2014-03-15 | Won |
| 1081 | 1003 | 61% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1125 | 978 | 70% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1151 | 713 | 93% | 2013-08-19 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1038 | 69% | 2013-03-24 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1026 | 52% | 2013-03-22 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1060 | 49% | 2013-03-12 | Won |
| 1031 | 917 | 66% | 2013-03-07 | Won |
| 1059 | 1006 | 58% | 2013-01-24 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1078 | 57% | 2012-12-11 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1213 | 27% | 2012-10-28 | Won |
| 1014 | 1003 | 52% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1005 | 66% | | Lost |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1064.6 vs 1012.8 has a 57.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).