Makela's End
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (14 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Nationalist): 15
Defender wins (Republican): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 929 | 1167 | 20% | 2023-09-14 | Won |
| 1213 | 1121 | 63% | 2022-06-28 | Lost |
| 1213 | 973 | 80% | 2022-03-28 | Lost |
| 968 | 1111 | 31% | 2018-11-30 | Lost |
| 1059 | 982 | 61% | 2016-03-24 | Won |
| 1051 | 1000 | 57% | 2016-03-23 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1167 | 32% | 2015-05-20 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1051 | 54% | 2015-03-21 | Lost |
| 1194 | 1078 | 66% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 831 | 879 | 43% | 2013-05-18 | Lost |
| 1213 | 973 | 80% | 2013-03-28 | Lost |
| 883 | 1151 | 18% | 2012-11-17 | Lost |
| 1089 | 919 | 73% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
| 1107 | 879 | 79% | 2012-05-16 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1062 vs 1032.2 has a 54.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).