The Gin Drinker's Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (30 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 45
Defender wins (British): 46
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 1185 | 24% | 2025-05-04 | Lost |
| 950 | 978 | 46% | 2025-04-12 | Won |
| 1069 | 1042 | 54% | 2025-04-11 | Lost |
| 911 | 900 | 52% | 2025-04-11 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1219 | 49% | 2025-02-06 | Lost |
| 989 | 839 | 70% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2023-09-30 | Won |
| 1133 | 1120 | 52% | 2023-01-22 | Won |
| 1003 | 943 | 59% | 2023-01-22 | Won |
| 1032 | 877 | 71% | 2021-12-07 | Tied |
| 1133 | 1153 | 47% | 2020-11-08 | Won |
| 1137 | 1117 | 53% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1040 | 983 | 58% | 2020-03-25 | Won |
| 957 | 753 | 76% | 2019-08-31 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1077 | 68% | 2018-11-11 | Lost |
| 1029 | 864 | 72% | 2018-05-27 | Won |
| 1009 | 988 | 53% | 2018-02-13 | Won |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2017-05-31 | Won |
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2017-05-31 | Won |
| 1042 | 1066 | 47% | 2017-04-28 | Lost |
| 1316 | 917 | 91% | 2016-09-02 | Won |
| 1113 | 1282 | 27% | 2015-09-05 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1038 | 48% | 2014-02-15 | Won |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2013-11-06 | Lost |
| 1141 | 964 | 73% | 2013-09-01 | Won |
| 957 | 1125 | 28% | 2013-08-31 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1061 | 41% | 2013-08-16 | Won |
| 1008 | 1058 | 43% | 2013-05-06 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1065.4 vs 1036.3 has a 54.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).