Pearl of the Danube
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (8 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian (Vannay)): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2024-04-25 | Won |
| 1030 | 1216 | 26% | 2020-10-20 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1076 | 69% | 2019-07-03 | Won |
| 1217 | 982 | 79% | 2018-03-10 | Lost |
| 879 | 1025 | 30% | 2017-10-25 | Lost |
| 1204 | 987 | 78% | 2017-07-07 | Won |
| 1068 | 882 | 74% | 2015-06-21 | Won |
| 1117 | 1035 | 62% | 2014-12-18 | Tied |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1095.1 vs 1030.5 has a 59.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).