Hell for the Holidays
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1306 | 1018 | 84% | 2025-05-13 | Won |
| 1306 | 1018 | 84% | 2025-05-13 | Won |
| 934 | 864 | 60% | 2024-12-20 | Won |
| 1005 | 1002 | 50% | 2024-12-01 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-08-27 | Won |
| 908 | 908 | 50% | 2022-12-18 | Won |
| 1018 | 1002 | 52% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1046 | 52% | 2020-09-06 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1162 | 58% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1219 | 1252 | 45% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1091 | 1219 | 32% | 2020-01-12 | Lost |
| 877 | 971 | 37% | 2019-06-19 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1046 | 55% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2018-12-16 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1080 | 46% | 2013-06-21 | Won |
| 1155 | 1090 | 59% | 2013-06-14 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1145 | 43% | 2013-03-19 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2012-05-05 | Won |
| 1106 | 1058 | 57% | 2012-03-31 | Lost |
| 987 | 917 | 60% | 2012-03-24 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1189 | 26% | 2012-02-07 | Lost |
| 968 | 767 | 76% | 2012-01-12 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1125 | 41% | 2012-01-12 | Won |
| 1117 | 1029 | 62% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1069.5 vs 1042 has a 53.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).