Coriano
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (Canadian): 17
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1109 | 1003 | 65% | 2023-07-19 | Won |
| 991 | 982 | 51% | 2023-07-05 | Lost |
| 991 | 982 | 51% | 2023-06-01 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1046 | 48% | 2023-06-01 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1046 | 48% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1167 | 940 | 79% | 2022-04-14 | Won |
| 878 | 1103 | 21% | 2020-11-15 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1098 | 51% | 2020-05-14 | Won |
| 937 | 1138 | 24% | 2019-11-09 | Won |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2016-12-20 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2016-11-12 | Won |
| 1186 | 986 | 76% | 2016-06-24 | Won |
| 1059 | 1051 | 51% | 2015-05-17 | Won |
| 1111 | 968 | 69% | 2015-05-17 | Won |
| 1051 | 1000 | 57% | 2015-04-15 | Lost |
| 1059 | 996 | 59% | 2015-02-27 | Won |
| 1019 | 1067 | 43% | 2014-11-21 | Won |
| 1123 | 1110 | 52% | 2014-04-03 | Won |
| 1100 | 1228 | 32% | 2014-01-28 | Lost |
| 1340 | 1419 | 39% | 2013-06-15 | Tied |
| 1340 | 1178 | 72% | 2013-06-14 | Won |
| 1133 | 1072 | 59% | 2013-06-04 | Won |
| 1100 | 1074 | 54% | 2013-04-14 | Won |
| 1122 | 1007 | 66% | 2013-02-09 | Lost |
| 927 | 1018 | 37% | 2012-11-07 | Lost |
| 1213 | 973 | 80% | 2012-06-16 | Won |
| 1008 | 1100 | 37% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 1078 | 978 | 64% | 2012-04-14 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1094 | 55% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
| 1151 | 1029 | 67% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1087.3 vs 1060.7 has a 53.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).