Ivanovskii
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 1012 | 50% | 2025-03-24 | Won |
| 1030 | 980 | 57% | 2025-01-18 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1112 | 36% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 951 | 1015 | 41% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
| 901 | 1089 | 25% | 2023-07-10 | Lost |
| 1011 | 917 | 63% | 2023-04-22 | Won |
| 1109 | 1030 | 61% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1050 | 62% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
| 1340 | 1015 | 87% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 974 | 958 | 52% | 2021-01-10 | Won |
| 902 | 940 | 45% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 1174 | 970 | 76% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 984 | 952 | 55% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1040 | 46% | 2013-07-27 | Won |
| 1080 | 1233 | 29% | 2012-06-09 | Won |
| 1068 | 1054 | 52% | 2012-06-09 | Won |
| 1340 | 1168 | 73% | 2012-05-04 | Won |
| 1100 | 978 | 67% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 879 | 870 | 51% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 1340 | 1090 | 81% | 2011-12-27 | Won |
| 1052 | 1001 | 57% | 2011-12-02 | Lost |
| 994 | 879 | 66% | 2011-12-02 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1063.7 vs 1016 has a 56.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).