Point To Make
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (17 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 26
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1078 | 933 | 70% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 1094 | 968 | 67% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 896 | 1030 | 32% | 2017-04-08 | Lost |
| 1058 | 976 | 62% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
| 1219 | 1046 | 73% | 2015-05-07 | Won |
| 1272 | 1029 | 80% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1043 | 60% | 2014-02-01 | Lost |
| 913 | 928 | 48% | 2013-04-01 | Won |
| 940 | 968 | 46% | 2012-04-15 | Lost |
| 1055 | 957 | 64% | 2012-03-09 | Won |
| 987 | 1018 | 46% | 2012-03-08 | Lost |
| 971 | 1132 | 28% | 2012-03-08 | Won |
| 971 | 1132 | 28% | 2012-03-07 | Won |
| 1094 | 1055 | 56% | 2011-08-12 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1136 | 42% | 2011-08-06 | Lost |
| 968 | 899 | 60% | 2011-06-01 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1042.6 vs 1015.5 has a 53.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).