The Weigh In
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (10 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Polish): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1094 | 1204 | 35% | 2023-06-05 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2023-01-10 | Won |
| 888 | 1167 | 17% | 2021-12-16 | Lost |
| 958 | 1282 | 13% | 2021-07-24 | Lost |
| 914 | 1052 | 31% | 2018-02-28 | Lost |
| 1107 | 901 | 77% | 2016-10-06 | Lost |
| 1078 | 978 | 64% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1007 | 57% | 2013-06-06 | Won |
| 969 | 968 | 50% | 2012-07-08 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1080 | 67% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1028.1 vs 1067 has a 44.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).