Frontiers and Pioneers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1292 | 1264 | 54% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1292 | 30% | 2023-07-17 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1159 | 48% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
| 1009 | 934 | 61% | 2021-09-08 | Won |
| 1003 | 1029 | 46% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 979 | 1018 | 44% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 1223 | 970 | 81% | 2020-04-23 | Won |
| 1219 | 1053 | 72% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
| 1058 | 976 | 62% | 2017-11-19 | Lost |
| 1157 | 853 | 85% | 2017-02-18 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-10-30 | Lost |
| 1111 | 984 | 68% | 2016-10-30 | Won |
| 1066 | 1170 | 35% | 2016-02-03 | Lost |
| 1132 | 971 | 72% | 2015-11-10 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1001 | 56% | 2015-11-09 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1045 | 70% | 2015-03-15 | Won |
| 1219 | 1027 | 75% | 2014-11-01 | Won |
| 988 | 1125 | 31% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 1014 | 965 | 57% | 2011-11-26 | Won |
| 1106 | 1058 | 57% | 2011-03-22 | Won |
| 1090 | 1067 | 53% | 2010-12-06 | Won |
| 1141 | 1081 | 59% | 2010-09-20 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1189 | 27% | 2010-02-15 | Won |
| 1081 | 1136 | 42% | 2009-11-12 | Lost |
| 909 | 1029 | 33% | 2009-10-24 | Lost |
| 1055 | 892 | 72% | 2009-10-24 | Won |
| 1132 | 1228 | 37% | 2009-09-20 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1055 | 56% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
| 1010 | 866 | 70% | 2009-08-07 | Won |
| 931 | 1025 | 37% | 2009-08-01 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2009-07-11 | Won |
| 1096 | 1051 | 56% | 2009-05-27 | Won |
| 1003 | 1189 | 26% | 2009-02-15 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1087 vs 1056.8 has a 54.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).