The Hellenic Expedition
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (5 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Greek / New Zealand): 10
Defender wins (German): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 931 | 1044 | 34% | 2025-06-12 | Lost |
| 1205 | 1055 | 70% | 2020-07-13 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1170 | 57% | 2018-06-19 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2009-03-23 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1003 | 74% | 2008-10-23 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1128.4 vs 1073.6 has a 57.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).