Raff's Dilemma
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (American): 7
Defender wins (German): 7
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 1005 | 55% | 2024-10-03 | Won |
| 1191 | 1018 | 73% | 2024-07-02 | Won |
| 831 | 1252 | 8% | 2024-03-23 | Lost |
| 852 | 1008 | 29% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1110 | 65% | 2023-03-30 | Won |
| 998 | 925 | 60% | 2021-07-01 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-11-22 | Lost |
| 929 | 1037 | 35% | 2019-06-15 | Won |
| 917 | 925 | 49% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 971 | 971 | 50% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
| 983 | 1158 | 27% | 2018-02-25 | Lost |
| 1058 | 971 | 62% | 2010-11-19 | Won |
| 1046 | 1228 | 26% | 2009-03-09 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1010 | 56% | 2009-01-06 | Won |
| 1003 | 1189 | 26% | 2008-08-12 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1011.9 vs 1059.7 has a 43.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).