Freeing the Roadway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (9 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 18
Defender wins (German): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 893 | 988 | 37% | 2025-01-26 | Won |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2022-07-12 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2019-02-05 | Won |
| 971 | 1066 | 37% | 2011-02-26 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1090 | 53% | 2010-07-20 | Won |
| 1005 | 1136 | 32% | 2009-05-18 | Lost |
| 1018 | 985 | 55% | 2008-11-01 | Won |
| 931 | 1108 | 27% | 2008-04-25 | Won |
| 1053 | 1087 | 45% | 2007-11-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1010.3 vs 1063.6 has a 42.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).