Ride Across the Caucasus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German / Slovakian): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 1055 | 47% | 2024-11-02 | Won |
| 893 | 1145 | 19% | 2024-11-01 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1090 | 1038 | 57% | 2020-08-28 | Won |
| 1172 | 1116 | 58% | 2018-05-30 | Won |
| 1017 | 1141 | 33% | 2014-02-16 | Lost |
| 1189 | 971 | 78% | 2012-11-30 | Lost |
| 994 | 1141 | 30% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 931 | 1026 | 37% | 2008-11-07 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1052 | 45% | 2007-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1037.7 vs 1072.2 has a 45.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).