Mercury Rising
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (Greek / New Zealand): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1094 | 1082 | 52% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1029 | 51% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1109 | 38% | 2023-03-27 | Won |
| 1210 | 1193 | 52% | 2023-03-23 | Lost |
| 989 | 1033 | 44% | 2023-02-18 | Won |
| 1047 | 996 | 57% | 2020-10-20 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1032 | 46% | 2020-10-03 | Won |
| 1094 | 840 | 81% | 2020-04-12 | Won |
| 992 | 1079 | 38% | 2013-01-01 | Lost |
| 960 | 951 | 51% | 2012-12-02 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1066 | 41% | 2012-09-20 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1012 | 52% | 2011-04-09 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1133 | 40% | 2008-12-30 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1052 | 44% | 2008-03-30 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2008-01-26 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1037.1 vs 1041.1 has a 49.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).