Retreat From Bairak
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 903 | 1310 | 9% | 2024-10-31 | Lost |
| 903 | 1252 | 12% | 2024-06-15 | Won |
| 1132 | 1144 | 48% | 2023-04-25 | Won |
| 1148 | 969 | 74% | 2021-10-10 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1092 | 69% | 2020-12-17 | Won |
| 991 | 1008 | 48% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
| 1032 | 971 | 59% | 2020-02-19 | Won |
| 840 | 1125 | 16% | 2019-09-15 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1141 | 31% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
| 997 | 1110 | 34% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
| 976 | 1055 | 39% | 2010-01-10 | Lost |
| 968 | 1125 | 29% | 2009-03-20 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1090 | 47% | 2008-06-01 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2008-01-26 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1029 | 62% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1020.9 vs 1095.3 has a 39.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).