Retreat From Bairak
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 1213 | 22% | 2025-10-02 | Lost |
| 981 | 1171 | 25% | 2025-09-06 | Tied |
| 1254 | 950 | 85% | 2025-08-16 | Won |
| 904 | 1340 | 8% | 2024-10-31 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1186 | 27% | 2024-06-15 | Won |
| 1118 | 1144 | 46% | 2023-04-25 | Won |
| 1149 | 969 | 74% | 2021-10-10 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1092 | 69% | 2020-12-17 | Won |
| 989 | 1009 | 47% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
| 1009 | 973 | 55% | 2020-02-19 | Won |
| 840 | 1089 | 19% | 2019-09-15 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1137 | 31% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
| 997 | 1075 | 39% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
| 976 | 1084 | 35% | 2010-01-10 | Lost |
| 968 | 1089 | 33% | 2009-03-20 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1109 | 51% | 2008-06-01 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2008-01-26 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1046 | 60% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1037.1 vs 1093.6 has a 41.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).