Alaric's Return
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7 (3 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Italian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1110 | 1041 | 60% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
| 932 | 1340 | 9% | 2011-01-15 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1122 | 41% | 2004-08-10 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1033.3 vs 1167.7 has a 31.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).