Abandon Ship!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 188 (17 on the archive and 171 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 91
Defender wins (American): 97
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-07-03 | Lost |
| 1000 | 945 | 58% | 2023-10-24 | Won |
| 1043 | 1000 | 56% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 1054 | 1009 | 56% | 2020-08-04 | Won |
| 1043 | 876 | 72% | 2018-02-05 | Won |
| 1105 | 1035 | 60% | 2015-10-21 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1155 | 39% | 2014-11-29 | Lost |
| 968 | 1091 | 33% | 2014-04-28 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1153 | 61% | 2011-06-07 | Won |
| 1029 | 934 | 63% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
| 1286 | 1294 | 49% | 2008-02-28 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2006-03-28 | Won |
| 831 | 1159 | 13% | 2003-08-21 | Lost |
| 919 | 1133 | 23% | 1999-07-29 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 1998-01-29 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1082 | 59% | 1996-10-06 | Lost |
| 866 | 1148 | 16% | 1996-09-23 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1046.6 vs 1071.1 has a 46.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).