Expelling The Guards
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1059 | 1059 | 50% | 2023-12-12 | Won |
| 897 | 1086 | 25% | 2022-11-04 | Won |
| 1252 | 1068 | 74% | 2020-12-09 | Lost |
| 988 | 1043 | 42% | 2007-01-12 | Won |
| 1127 | 1090 | 55% | 2006-10-20 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1064.6 vs 1069.2 has a 49.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).