For Whom the Bells Toll
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 120 (12 on the archive and 108 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 65
Defender wins (German (SS)): 55
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1008 | 993 | 52% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
1196 | 1090 | 65% | 2015-05-30 | Won |
959 | 1039 | 39% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
1066 | 1027 | 56% | 2013-11-22 | Lost |
1180 | 1228 | 43% | 2007-11-07 | Won |
1077 | 1055 | 53% | 2007-10-27 | Lost |
909 | 1005 | 37% | 2007-10-27 | Lost |
1113 | 1412 | 15% | 2007-01-31 | Lost |
1136 | 1259 | 33% | 2007-01-28 | Lost |
1045 | 1189 | 30% | 2006-06-27 | Won |
1157 | 1090 | 60% | 2004-03-19 | Lost |
968 | 1136 | 28% | 2004-02-07 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1067.8 vs 1126.9 has a 41.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).