Fangs of the Tiger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (10 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 29
Defender wins (Russian): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1013 | 1031 | 47% | 2025-09-05 | Won |
| 984 | 1078 | 37% | 2018-08-18 | Won |
| 1164 | 1080 | 62% | 2012-06-18 | Won |
| 1213 | 890 | 87% | 2008-05-27 | Won |
| 1035 | 1284 | 19% | 2008-05-13 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2007-05-11 | Lost |
| 1122 | 999 | 67% | 2004-12-31 | Won |
| 1046 | 1109 | 41% | 2003-12-05 | Won |
| 1163 | 1174 | 48% | 2002-11-07 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1031 | 75% | 2002-10-24 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1109.9 vs 1090.4 has a 52.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).