The Golovchino Breakout
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 1082 | 44% | 2024-07-18 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1133 | 47% | 2008-10-16 | Won |
| 1210 | 904 | 85% | 2005-05-27 | Lost |
| 989 | 930 | 58% | 2005-03-11 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2002-02-21 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2002-02-12 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1091.3 vs 1040.5 has a 57.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).