First Clash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (Canadian): 3
Defender wins (Italian): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 959 | 1023 | 41% | 2018-11-02 | Won |
| 958 | 1137 | 26% | 2012-06-24 | Tied |
| 1078 | 973 | 65% | 2012-01-20 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2008-02-08 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1013 | 54% | 2003-12-15 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1117 | 46% | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1036.3 vs 1060.5 has a 46.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).