Infantry Probe at Argentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (19 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 44
Defender wins (Free French): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 1003 | 46% | 2025-01-11 | Lost |
| 1213 | 973 | 80% | 2023-01-11 | Won |
| 989 | 1137 | 30% | 2022-03-19 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1173 | 30% | 2020-11-19 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1118 | 43% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
| 973 | 1118 | 30% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
| 1089 | 1113 | 47% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1046 | 73% | 2019-06-14 | Won |
| 1037 | 1051 | 48% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 910 | 1075 | 28% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 910 | 1075 | 28% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 1051 | 999 | 57% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
| 879 | 968 | 37% | 2016-04-01 | Won |
| 1124 | 1089 | 55% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1032 | 1058 | 46% | 2010-02-01 | Won |
| 1078 | 1051 | 54% | 2009-09-19 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1174 | 50% | 2007-05-10 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1109 | 51% | 2005-08-05 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1047.7 vs 1073.9 has a 46.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).