Infantry Probe at Argentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (19 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 44
Defender wins (Free French): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 1018 | 44% | 2025-01-11 | Lost |
| 1189 | 971 | 78% | 2023-01-11 | Won |
| 1166 | 1141 | 54% | 2022-03-19 | Lost |
| 970 | 1039 | 40% | 2020-11-19 | Lost |
| 971 | 1132 | 28% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
| 1086 | 1132 | 43% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
| 1125 | 1081 | 56% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1029 | 75% | 2019-06-14 | Won |
| 985 | 1080 | 37% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 910 | 1110 | 24% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 910 | 1110 | 24% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 968 | 960 | 51% | 2016-04-01 | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1125 | 47% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2010-02-01 | Won |
| 1068 | 1080 | 48% | 2009-09-19 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1136 | 47% | 2007-05-10 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1090 | 53% | 2005-08-05 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1054.7 vs 1071.6 has a 47.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).