Firestorm in St. Manvieu
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (8 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 26
Defender wins (German (SS)): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1065 | 1065 | 50% | 2025-10-19 | Won |
| 1090 | 1171 | 39% | 2025-01-25 | Tied |
| 958 | 1041 | 38% | 2017-12-16 | Won |
| 1047 | 1037 | 51% | 2017-07-15 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1340 | 17% | 2013-08-31 | Won |
| 1117 | 1109 | 51% | 2006-09-24 | Won |
| 1204 | 1188 | 52% | 2005-09-10 | Won |
| 1151 | 1183 | 45% | 2005-07-23 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1087.8 vs 1141.8 has a 42.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).