Taking Tailleville
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (Canadian): 7
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 982 | 51% | 2024-07-01 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1065 | 45% | 2024-07-01 | Lost |
| 968 | 1098 | 32% | 2022-09-02 | Won |
| 1052 | 967 | 62% | 2022-07-14 | Won |
| 1183 | 1047 | 69% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1113 | 63% | 2021-02-01 | Won |
| 1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2017-09-17 | Lost |
| 1340 | 1236 | 65% | 2013-08-18 | Won |
| 982 | 943 | 56% | 2006-10-02 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1117 | 49% | 2005-10-02 | Won |
| 1174 | 996 | 74% | 2005-01-02 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2004-12-01 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2004-11-09 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1117 | 46% | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1096.3 vs 1065.5 has a 54.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).