The Fifth Column
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (6 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Polish): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 1182 | 36% | 2024-02-19 | Won |
| 994 | 1029 | 45% | 2022-12-21 | Won |
| 1055 | 1165 | 35% | 2018-08-09 | Lost |
| 862 | 881 | 47% | 2018-01-01 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1032 | 51% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
| 1082 | 1040 | 56% | 2009-09-17 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1019.3 vs 1054.8 has a 44.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).