The Milling Crowd
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1217 | 1191 | 54% | 2021-02-19 | Won |
| 1217 | 1204 | 52% | 2021-02-19 | Won |
| 881 | 862 | 53% | 2017-07-09 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2016-05-31 | Tied |
| 1037 | 1047 | 49% | 2015-08-01 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 1998-10-22 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1103.2 vs 1096 has a 51.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).