Under a Sky of Lead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (8 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Free French): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 1060 | 40% | 2023-03-06 | Won |
| 900 | 756 | 70% | 2022-06-06 | Won |
| 1080 | 1202 | 33% | 2019-03-30 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1058 | 44% | 2004-03-16 | Won |
| 831 | 1204 | 10% | 2002-08-23 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1052 | 54% | 1999-11-12 | Won |
| 1123 | 1068 | 58% | 1999-10-30 | Won |
| 1068 | 1123 | 42% | 1999-02-19 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1011.4 vs 1065.4 has a 42.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).