Abandon Ship!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (29 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (American): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 911 | 925 | 48% | 2024-12-06 | Lost |
| 918 | 941 | 47% | 2023-07-18 | Lost |
| 932 | 940 | 49% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1014 | 56% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 965 | 1014 | 43% | 2023-02-06 | Lost |
| 1225 | 940 | 84% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2022-09-07 | Lost |
| 864 | 1047 | 26% | 2022-08-24 | Won |
| 1098 | 1180 | 38% | 2022-02-26 | Won |
| 1075 | 913 | 72% | 2021-08-21 | Won |
| 1018 | 949 | 60% | 2021-07-17 | Lost |
| 991 | 1009 | 47% | 2020-08-04 | Won |
| 1123 | 1072 | 57% | 2019-03-09 | Won |
| 1135 | 1067 | 60% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
| 969 | 897 | 60% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1030 | 52% | 2017-03-31 | Won |
| 1041 | 1030 | 52% | 2017-01-06 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-12-06 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1173 | 54% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 1009 | 1001 | 51% | 2015-04-17 | Lost |
| 1110 | 970 | 69% | 2014-11-27 | Won |
| 1110 | 1048 | 59% | 2014-11-14 | Tied |
| 1151 | 713 | 93% | 2014-06-11 | Won |
| 1006 | 1059 | 42% | 2013-05-01 | Lost |
| 966 | 1072 | 35% | 2011-07-09 | Lost |
| 1419 | 1070 | 88% | 2011-06-04 | Won |
| 1419 | 1090 | 87% | 2011-03-20 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1045 | 44% | 2010-11-01 | Lost |
| 1052 | 942 | 65% | 1998-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1071.3 vs 1014.2 has a 58.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).