Skirmish In The Snow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (11 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 951 | 970 | 47% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 949 | 904 | 56% | 2018-03-06 | Won |
| 904 | 1009 | 35% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1072 | 59% | 2015-06-27 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1254 | 38% | 2014-10-08 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1005 | 55% | 2011-01-01 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2010-06-11 | Won |
| 1151 | 1196 | 44% | 2007-11-03 | Won |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2007-05-10 | Won |
| 1033 | 1047 | 48% | 2007-03-16 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1058 | 44% | 2004-07-02 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1043.5 vs 1072.2 has a 45.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).