A Belated Christmas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (American): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
971 | 997 | 46% | 2025-04-13 | Lost |
1125 | 879 | 80% | 2021-03-06 | Won |
893 | 893 | 50% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
1236 | 1139 | 64% | 2018-01-07 | Won |
968 | 899 | 60% | 2017-01-04 | Lost |
1094 | 1058 | 55% | 2013-03-07 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1047.8 vs 977.5 has a 59.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).