Just an Illusion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (9 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Thai (Chinese)): 22
Defender wins (French): 27
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Thai (Chinese)): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1049 | 995 | 58% | 2024-06-24 | Won |
| 944 | 944 | 50% | 2023-01-08 | Lost |
| 973 | 1061 | 38% | 2021-12-05 | Won |
| 1032 | 943 | 63% | 2020-05-23 | Lost |
| 891 | 1066 | 27% | 2013-02-26 | Won |
| 870 | 1158 | 16% | 2012-09-17 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1133 | 52% | 2007-05-05 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1050 | 55% | 2003-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 998.5 vs 1043.8 has a 43.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).