Dress Rehearsal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German (SS)): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1085 | 42% | 2024-11-15 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1085 | 42% | 2024-11-05 | Lost |
| 991 | 1049 | 42% | 2024-11-05 | Lost |
| 1149 | 971 | 74% | 2023-08-23 | Won |
| 1306 | 1018 | 84% | 2022-11-28 | Won |
| 749 | 1306 | 4% | 2022-07-25 | Lost |
| 929 | 929 | 50% | 2022-07-17 | Lost |
| 970 | 1223 | 19% | 2020-10-02 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1111 | 51% | 2020-06-19 | Won |
| 967 | 1157 | 25% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 852 | 968 | 34% | 2020-04-08 | Won |
| 1158 | 993 | 72% | 2020-03-13 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1058 | 51% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 856 | 917 | 41% | 2019-05-05 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1135 | 32% | 2014-09-14 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2013-06-18 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1108 | 52% | 2012-01-21 | Lost |
| 993 | 1310 | 14% | 2009-11-29 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1141 | 41% | 2009-09-18 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1003 | 74% | 2008-07-22 | Lost |
| 985 | 1228 | 20% | 2007-05-13 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1025 | 55% | 2006-10-07 | Won |
| 1124 | 1252 | 32% | 2006-08-10 | Lost |
| 981 | 1097 | 34% | 2002-09-14 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1018 | 52% | 2002-01-01 | Won |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1042 vs 1095.2 has a 42.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).