Canicatti
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 1055 | 41% | 2024-04-05 | Lost |
| 998 | 1094 | 37% | 2022-04-21 | Won |
| 1009 | 913 | 63% | 2022-01-16 | Lost |
| 1183 | 996 | 75% | 2021-10-11 | Won |
| 1080 | 1079 | 50% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 931 | 1058 | 32% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1252 | 19% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 1225 | 913 | 86% | 2020-08-11 | Won |
| 1137 | 1113 | 53% | 2020-08-08 | Lost |
| 1009 | 984 | 54% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 893 | 893 | 50% | 2020-03-17 | Lost |
| 963 | 1252 | 16% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-02-24 | Lost |
| 929 | 1144 | 22% | 2017-07-14 | Won |
| 1080 | 910 | 73% | 2017-05-08 | Won |
| 1018 | 978 | 56% | 2015-06-19 | Won |
| 1071 | 1018 | 58% | 2013-11-09 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1081 | 47% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1040 | 869 | 73% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 966 | 1125 | 29% | 2012-04-13 | Won |
| 1141 | 994 | 70% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 978 | 1098 | 33% | 2007-03-17 | Lost |
| 894 | 1025 | 32% | 2006-10-18 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1110 | 49% | 2006-09-23 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-09-10 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1003 | 74% | 2004-03-22 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1147 | 48% | 2002-09-24 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1090 | 65% | 2002-07-19 | Won |
| 911 | 1252 | 12% | 2002-03-29 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2001-09-05 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2001-08-21 | Won |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1042.7 vs 1052.4 has a 48.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).