Ryan's Orphans
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 2
Defender wins (Japanese): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1117 | 1117 | 50% | 2019-12-29 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1075 | 45% | 2017-05-31 | Lost |
| 946 | 1129 | 26% | 2016-03-20 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1048 | 54% | 2016-03-07 | Lost |
| 870 | 1228 | 11% | 2014-08-25 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1030 | 50% | 2011-11-21 | Won |
| 1138 | 1163 | 46% | 2004-02-15 | Lost |
| 1109 | 984 | 67% | 2002-09-08 | Lost |
| 1241 | 973 | 82% | 2001-09-15 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1026 | 51% | 2000-09-16 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1074 | 49% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1061.1 vs 1077 has a 47.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).