Ham and Bloody Jam
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (British): 10
Defender wins (German): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1196 | 1196 | 50% | 2025-02-04 | Lost |
| 832 | 878 | 43% | 2024-07-25 | Lost |
| 988 | 965 | 53% | 2024-03-02 | Won |
| 864 | 1045 | 26% | 2022-12-28 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1118 | 65% | 2022-11-24 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1118 | 65% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 1017 | 1027 | 49% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 1017 | 1027 | 49% | 2022-10-25 | Lost |
| 873 | 809 | 59% | 2022-08-30 | Lost |
| 738 | 1054 | 14% | 2022-02-11 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2020-12-20 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1143 | 34% | 2019-07-20 | Won |
| 1138 | 1132 | 51% | 2019-06-05 | Won |
| 1058 | 968 | 63% | 2018-04-15 | Won |
| 870 | 974 | 35% | 2018-02-01 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1020 | 54% | 2015-09-10 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1037 | 47% | 2015-03-06 | Won |
| 1034 | 1104 | 40% | 2015-02-23 | Lost |
| 974 | 949 | 54% | 2011-11-04 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1029 | 51% | 2010-05-31 | Lost |
| 851 | 1020 | 27% | 2009-11-15 | Lost |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2009-02-05 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1044 | 50% | 2008-01-03 | Won |
| 1066 | 1095 | 46% | 2004-03-17 | Won |
| 1196 | 1051 | 70% | 2000-10-10 | Lost |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 1998-05-16 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1009.3 vs 1035 has a 46.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).