Stand Fast the Guards
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (13 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (British): 9
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 968 | 959 | 51% | 2025-06-21 | Won |
| 971 | 994 | 47% | 2024-12-12 | Won |
| 1018 | 1217 | 24% | 2024-10-02 | Won |
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2024-06-04 | Lost |
| 964 | 1136 | 27% | 2022-02-08 | Lost |
| 931 | 1264 | 13% | 2020-11-04 | Won |
| 1005 | 1039 | 45% | 2020-08-17 | Won |
| 971 | 943 | 54% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1252 | 45% | 2018-12-25 | Won |
| 1219 | 1162 | 58% | 2018-12-24 | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2011-02-17 | Won |
| 1026 | 1018 | 51% | 2009-12-22 | Lost |
| 1044 | 984 | 59% | 1994-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1027.4 vs 1078.5 has a 42.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).