Red Star, Red Sun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (14 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Japanese): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2024-01-19 | Lost |
| 1252 | 768 | 94% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1264 | 931 | 87% | 2020-07-05 | Won |
| 1039 | 1005 | 55% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 943 | 971 | 46% | 2018-08-25 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-09-04 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1106 | 39% | 2016-04-05 | Won |
| 1121 | 1094 | 54% | 2012-12-17 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2012-10-06 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1090 | 59% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
| 971 | 920 | 57% | 2008-03-18 | Won |
| 1252 | 1121 | 68% | 2002-07-27 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1252 | 28% | 2001-03-10 | Lost |
| 940 | 1080 | 31% | 1991-11-18 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1090.6 vs 1039.5 has a 57.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).