On the Kokoda Trail
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 138 (19 on the archive and 119 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 89
Defender wins (Australian): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2022-01-25 | Won |
| 972 | 1307 | 13% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1039 | 45% | 2019-11-11 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2018-10-02 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-04-11 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-03-21 | Won |
| 1014 | 1306 | 16% | 2016-02-15 | Won |
| 1029 | 1106 | 39% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 971 | 943 | 54% | 2015-08-11 | Won |
| 1017 | 931 | 62% | 2012-09-02 | Won |
| 1121 | 1094 | 54% | 2011-02-19 | Won |
| 1010 | 1029 | 47% | 2010-01-25 | Won |
| 1189 | 1003 | 74% | 2006-10-26 | Won |
| 1046 | 1090 | 44% | 2004-07-10 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 1998-06-30 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1252 | 31% | 1995-01-28 | Lost |
| 984 | 1044 | 41% | 1993-03-28 | Won |
| 1117 | 1000 | 66% | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1059.2 vs 1080.8 has a 46.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).